By SKM
September 29, 2025
ISLAMABAD — Petroleum product prices in Pakistan are expected to increase by Rs1.76 to Rs4.65 per liter starting October 1, 2025, for the next fortnight, primarily due to fluctuations in international crude oil prices and persistent geopolitical tensions.
According to official sources, petrol (motor spirit) is likely to rise by Rs1.97 per liter, while high-speed diesel (HSD) may go up by Rs2.48 per liter. The anticipated hike is driven by a modest upward movement in global crude oil prices, influenced by demand-supply imbalances, a decline in U.S. strategic petroleum reserves, and continued uncertainty in oil-producing regions.
Markets remain volatile amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, which continues to weigh heavily on global energy outlooks and pricing trends.
Additionally, prices of kerosene oil and light diesel oil (LDO) are also expected to rise. Kerosene may see an increase of Rs4.65 per liter, while LDO could go up by Rs1.76 per liter. These fuels are commonly used in rural and low-income areas, raising concerns over the impact on already burdened households.
If approved, the new ex-depot prices of petroleum products would be as follows:
Petrol (Motor Spirit): Rs266.58 per liter (↑ 0.7%)
High-Speed Diesel (HSD): Rs275.25 per liter (↑ 0.9%)
Kerosene Oil: Rs184.61 per liter (↑ 2.6%)
Light Diesel Oil (LDO): Rs165.18 per liter (↑ 1.1%)
The final decision on price revisions will be made by the Ministry of Finance, based on the recommendations of the Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (OGRA). The pricing mechanism considers international oil prices, the rupee-dollar exchange rate, inland freight margins, and applicable petroleum levies.
With inflation already straining household budgets, the expected fuel price hike is likely to further impact the cost of living — particularly in the transport, agriculture, and logistics sectors, which are heavily dependent on petroleum products.
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